Posts

Adding ENPH & GLBE

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I will probably post more background info on the companies, but for now, I'm keeping it brief. ENPH is a play on solar power. They sell microinverters used in the most efficient solar energy setups. GLBE is a cross-border currency and translation service. They not only convert currencies -- they provide language translation to their customers. Both companies have strong revenue growth. Projected ENPH revenue growth is 20.2% CAGR over 5 years; for GLBE, the number is 28.8%. I am adding medium-sized positions as the market may pull back in May.  Sentiment changes quickly, and after being in extreme fear not too long ago, we're back to greed. Some profit-taking from the big players may explain the recent dip in the SP500. I am adding three shares of ENPH at $196.88 And I'm adding 15 shares of GLBE at $30. ENPH $196.88 x 3 = $590.64 GLBE $30 x 15 = $450 These are the current Model Portfolio Holdings. 1. AMD 2. CB 3. CELH 4. CRWD 5. GLBE 6. GOOGL 7. MA 8. SNOW 9. WM I'd like...

Quick Update

Here is an update on the returns of the Model Portfolio stocks. AMD      +15.5% CB             -13.2% CELH     +10.1% CRWD    +11.6% GOOGL  +9.1% MA          +1.8% SNOW    +6.6% WM        -0.5% I will post the total return ASAP. This website is created and authored by Marlin Sandlin and is published and provided for informational and entertainment purposes only and merely cites my own personal opinions.  I am not a financial advisor, and this website is not intended to constitute investment advice or provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security or investment product.  Any action you take upon the information you find on this website is strictly at your own risk.  This website may share links to articles and information which is interesting to me, but it is in no way an endorsement by me or by anyone ...

Bank Trouble, Buffett, and DCA

SIVB Financial crumbled due, in part, to its lending to startup companies. When the economy turned for the worse, these startup companies weren't making deposits as often as during the era of 0% interest. Bond prices dropped as the Fed tightened, and so SIVB had to sell its bond assets in order to maintain solvency. All this added up to a bank run at SIVB. A bank run happens when faith in the bank is lost, and clients withdraw their money at alarming rates. When a bank runs happens, the bank often needs a "bailout" of sorts (either from the government or other banks).  The good news is depositors with under $250,000 in the bank should get their balance. Stockholders of SIVB, on the other hand, take losses. Investing is a risk, and investors assumed the risk of a bank run when they bought shares. The greatest risk right now is contagion. What this means is, the broad spectrum of depositors lose faith in the banking system to the extent that several banks experience bank ru...

SNOW Drops, Adding CELH, AMD

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SNOW fell after reporting earnings and some conservative guidance. The stock is currently holding at support. We bought SNOW at $126, and I would love to add more shares. I'm going to wait for now and see whether SNOW heads for $110. CELH dripped after earnings, and I'm adding shares at $82 (just as I did in my personal portfolio). We've been watching CELH for months, and $82 is a price I'm willing to pay. Add CELH 4 shares @ $82 = $336 I'm also adding AMD as I want exposure to the semiconductor sector. AMD is a high-quality company with excellent leadership, and shares are undervalued, in my opinion. Add AMD 10 shares at $80 = $800 I'm also adding one share of Mastercard at $350. Here are the current Model Portfolio holdings. AMD CB CELH CRWD GOOGL MA SNOW WM Have a great night! This website is created and authored by Marlin Sandlin and is published and provided for informational and entertainment purposes only and merely cites my own personal opinions.  I am n...

Inflation Comes in Hot

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Inflation data came in hotter than expected. Inflation had dropped three months in a row before January. The jobs market remains robust despite layoffs in the tech sector. Although the market is pulling back, stocks and growth stocks, in particular, have shot up in 2023. These are not things the Fed likes to see, and now the fear is that the Fed will raise interest rates by 0.5% rather than 0.25%. Suffice it to say these factors contributed to the pullback in stocks last week. And let's not forget the fact that, whatever the decision, JPow can make matters worse by talking. Whether or not there is a recession, the market generally bottoms before a recession ends. This is an example of the market being forward-looking. The coming week/weeks could give some opportunities to lower one's cost basis on stocks. Just as growth stocks rise faster than the broader market, they also fall faster. For some investors, that type of volatility is (understandably) too much to handle. I designe...

Brief Update

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I've been waiting for earnings season to wrap up, the FED announcement, and the economic data before writing or trading too much. SNOW reports earnings on March 1 and CRWD on March 9. If those stocks drop after earnings, I plan to pick up shares. At the very least, I will DCA those positions. I have some concerns about GOOGL's leadership, fractures in the company, and workers are leaving GOOGL for other opportunities and airing out dirty laundry. The stock is cheap, but I am in no rush to add. Tech is pulling back after a nice run-up. A swing trader would have sold the top (probably using indicators candles as signals) and walked away with a 30% profit or so (assuming a mostly tech/growth stock portfolio). But I am a long-term investor and only sell shares when 1.) The opportunity cost is not so favorable, and I want to buy better opportunities 2.) Taking some profits to put in the piggy bank for an opportune time to buy 3.) When a stock has become too large a position in my po...

Update 2-2-23

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  The market has been on an incredible run lately. Growth stocks are on fire and we may have seen multiple short-squeezes today (including UPST). Here is the Model Portfolio's performance since its inception on 11-29-22 against two benchmarks. Model Portfolio:     11.0% SPY:                              5.2% QQQ:                            10.0% Growth stocks, which make up a majority of the portfolio, tend to move in extremes. When the market is up, they rise fast. When the market is down, they drop lower than blue-chip and value stocks. Growth investing comes with a lot of volatility, and if one cannot handle the dramatic ups and down, then growth stock investing might be right for that person. While the Model Portfolio is up significantly, that can change fast -- which leads me to the next topic. There was ...